New York Federal Reserve President John Williams provides expert analysis of the U.S. economy and the extensive measures the Federal Reserve has taken to alleviate inflation.
John Williams, New York's Federal Reserve President, stressed the urgency of resolving the U.S.'s number one issue of inflation, which he predicted could take "a couple of years."
Williams said that inflation could remain elevated until 2025, though he anticipates a "pretty significant decline" in consumer prices in 2023 as supply chain disruptions continue to fade.
'Today, the latest reading showed the PCE inflation rate, the one that we're focused on, is at 6.0%, and we want it to be 2%,' Williams told FOX Business' Ed Lawrence in an exclusive interview. ‘My hope is that we will be at our 2% inflation goal by 2025. But importantly, I expect to see a pretty significant decline in inflation next year as supply chain issues improve.’
John Williams, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, right, speaks during Politico’s Morning Money lunch briefing in Washington, D.C., U.S., on Tuesday, May 17, 2016. Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg via Getty Images (Getty images / Getty Images)
The Fed has been raising interest rates at the most aggressive pace since the 1980s as it tries to wrestle inflation that is still running near a 40-year high under control. Officials have already approved six straight increases, including four back-to-back 75-basis-point hikes, raising the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75% to 4%. Despite this, Williams was still unable to indicate if inflation has peaked.
'I don't know if it's peaked, because that depends on some volatile prices like food and energy, which have been affected by global developments. I do think we're starting to see some signs on under on inflation measures. They're moving in the right direction,' Williams explained Thursday. 'It's hard to predict the future and there are a lot of factors that affect inflation. But I do see we're moving now and into next year with a lower inflationary trend.'
FOX Business’ Edward Lawrence reports on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s remarks regarding the future of the U.S. economy as it continues to combat record inflation.
Critics argue that the Biden administrations careless government spending is the key contributor to the country's sky-high inflation, however, the New York Federal Reserve President claimed that the Biden administration's excessive spending is not a primary part of inflation ‘right now.’
'I see what really is an issue of the global factors influencing commodity prices and demand. The supply chain issues, which are getting better. And then there's fundamental fact that demand is exceeding supply,' Williams detailed.
FILE – This May 4, 2021, file photo shows the Federal Reserve building in Washington. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky, File / Associated Press)
'Our job is really just to focus on given the economic outlook, given the strength in the economy and the inflation outlook. What do we need to do to get, basically monetary policy to a sufficiently restrictive stance to bring inflation back to 2%? That's what we've been doing through this year, and that's what we're going to need to continue to do in order to bring inflation under control and bring it back down,' Williams concluded.
With inflation remaining exceedingly high, economists have been increasingly convinced the Fed will trigger a recession in 2024.
FOX Business' Megan Henney contributed to this report